Showing posts with label Recidivism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Recidivism. Show all posts

Friday, September 11, 2015

Recidivism among Licensed-Released Prisoners Who Participated in the EM Program in Israel

Toward the end of 2006, a pilot program was launched in Israel wherein licensed-released prisoners were put under electronic monitoring (EM). In addition to EM, the pilot program, operated by the Prisoners' Rehabilitation Authority, provides programs of occupational supervision and personal therapy and is designed to allow for early release of those prisoners who, without increased supervision, would have been found unsuitable for early release. 

The aim of this study was to ascertain whether participation in the EM program among licensed-released prisoners in Israel might bring about lessened recidivism. For that matter, rates of arrests and incarceration were examined during a follow-up period of up to 4 years, among the entirety of licensed-released prisoners participating in the EM program between the years 2007 and 2009 (n = 155). 

To compare recidivism rates, a control group was assembled from among the entirety of released prisoners who were found unsuitable for early release in judicial conditions, and had therefore served the full term of their incarceration, to be released between the years 2005 and 2006 (a period of time during which an EM program was not yet operated among licensed-released prisoners in Israel). 

Study findings clearly show that while among the control group, 42% of released prisoners were re-incarcerated, at the end of a 4-year follow-up period, only 15% among the study group had returned to prison. 

These findings can be explained by combining the Social Control theory and the Self-Control theory which consider the period of time under EM program and the occupational and familial integration tools for reducing criminal connections and enhancing pro-social behavior.

Via: http://ht.ly/S78hx

By: Shoham E1Yehosha-Stern S2Efodi R3.
  • 1Ashkelon Academic College, Israel 
  • 2Ashkelon Academic College, Israel.
  • 3Prisoners Rehabilitation Authority, Jerusalem, Israel.

Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Examining Recidivism among Foreign-Born Jail Inmates: Does Immigration Status Make a Difference Over the Long Term?

The topic of ‘illegal’ immigration is currently the focus of intense ideological and policy debate in the United States. A common assertion is that those without legal immigration status are disproportionately involved in criminal offending relative to other foreign-born populations. 

The current study examines the long-term recidivism patterns of a group of male removable aliens compared to those foreign-born with legal authorisation to be present in the United States. The sample includes 1297 foreign-born males released from the Los Angeles County Jail during a 1-month period in 2002, and the follow-up period extends through 2011. 

Using three measures of rearrest and a rigorous counterfactual modelling approach, we find no statistically significant differences between the two groups in likelihood, frequency, or timing of first rearrest over 9 years. The findings do not lend support to arguments that removable aliens pose a disproportionate risk of repeat involvement in local criminal justice systems.

Via:  http://ht.ly/RXS5e

By: Jennifer S. Wong, Laura J. Hickman, Marika Suttorp-Booth
  • a School of Criminology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada
  • b Criminology and Criminal Justice Division, Portland State University, Portland, OR, USA
  • c Quantitative Analyst, RAND, Santa Monica, CA, USA

Less Is More Using Static-2002R Subscales to Predict Violent and General Recidivism among Sexual Offenders

Given that sexual offenders are more likely to reoffend with a nonsexual offence than a sexual offence, it is useful to have risk scales that predict general recidivism among sexual offenders. 

In the current study, we examined the extent to which two commonly used risk scales for sexual offenders (Static-99R and Static-2002R) predict violent and general recidivism, and whether it would be possible to improve predictive accuracy for these outcomes by revising their items. Based on an aggregated sample of 3,536 adult male sex offenders from Canada, US, and Europe (average age of 39 years), we found that a scale created from age at release and the general criminality subscale of Static-2002R predicted nonsexual violent, any violent, and general recidivism significantly better than Static-99R or Static-2002R total scores. 

The convergent validity of this new scale (Brief Assessment of Recidivism Risk – 2002R; BARR-2002R) was examined in a new, independent dataset of Canadian high risk adult male sex offenders (N = 360) where it was found to be highly correlated with other risk assessment tools for general recidivism and the PCL-R, and demonstrated similar discrimination and calibration as in the development sample. Instead of using total scores from the Static-99R or Static-2002R, we recommend that evaluators use the BARR-2002R for predicting violent and general recidivism among sex offenders, and for screening for the psychological dimension of antisocial orientation. 

Via (PDF): http://goo.gl/mRyVl7

By: Kelly M. Babchishin
University of Ottawa Institute of Mental Health Research, Royal Ottawa Hospital

Predicting Women’s Recidivism: Validating a Dynamic Community-Based ‘Gender-Neutral’ Tool

Despite the growing number of women involved in the criminal justice system, most risk assessment tools used with this population were developed on male offenders, fuelling debate about whether these tools should be used with women. This study investigated the predictive validity of one such dynamic tool the Dynamic Risk Assessment for Offender Re-entry (DRAOR) with a sample of female and male parolees. Unexpectedly, the DRAOR subscales predicted recidivism for women, but not for men, and the acute risk subscale independently contributed to recidivism prediction. Furthermore, the DRAOR incrementally predicted women’s recidivism above static risk. These results support the use of the DRAOR with women offenders, and more generally, a ‘gender-neutral’ approach to risk assessment tools for women. 

Via (PDF):  http://goo.gl/KdRe0s 

By: Julia A. Yesberg
Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand

Borderline Personality Disorder: Prevalence & Psychiatric Comorbidity among Male Offenders on Probation in Sweden

INTRODUCTION:
Borderline personality disorder (BPD) is a severely disabling condition, associated with substantially increased risk of deliberate self-harm and, particularly in men, also with interpersonal violence and other criminal behavior. Although BPD might be common among prison inmates, little is known about prevalence and psychiatric comorbidity in probationers and parolees.

RESULTS:
We ascertained a final DSM-5 BPD prevalence rate of 19.8%. The most common current comorbid disorders among subjects with BPD were antisocial personality disorder (91%), major depressive disorder (82%), substance dependence (73%), attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) (70%), and alcohol dependence (64%). Individuals diagnosed with BPD had significantly more current psychiatric comorbidity than interviewed participants not fulfilling BPD criteria. Participants with BPD also reported substantially more symptoms of ADHD, anxiety and depression compared to all subjects without BPD.

CONCLUSIONS:
BPD affected one fifth of probationers and was related to serious mental ill-health known to affect recidivism risk. The findings suggest further study of possible benefits of improved identification and treatment of BPD in offender populations.


  • 1Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden. Electronic address: dan.wetterborg@ki.se.
  • 2Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden; Swedish Prison and Probation Services R&D Unit, 601 80 Norrköping, Sweden. Electronic address: niklas.langstrom@ki.se.
  • 3Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Behavioural Sciences and Learning, Linköping University, 581 83 Linköping, Sweden. Electronic address: gerhard.andersson@liu.se.
  • 4Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden. Electronic address: pia.enebrink@ki.se.


Wednesday, July 29, 2015

An Investigation of Firesetting Recidivism: Factors Related to Repeat Offending

Below:  Survival curve for firesetting recidivism among participants with further arson offences (n = 56).



The rate of firesetting recidivism, based on charges, was very low (5.3%) compared with the rate of general recidivism (55.4%); the vast majority of firesetting recidivists were mixed (criminally versatile) offenders (91%). The study found that general criminality, firesetting history, and psychiatric disorder were associated with firesetting recidivism.

When assessing risk of firesetting recidivism, clinicians need to consider general criminality in addition to fire-specific history, and the potential impacts of mental disorder on recidivism.

Read at:   ht.ly/Q6ksV #Arson MT @MonashUni